Rangers By The Numbers Game Preview: Rangers @ Maple Leafs

November 8, 2014 - Finding Carter

Stepan’s Back

The Rangers play a initial of a back-to-back tonight, anticipating to continue a trend of plain play that has led to points in 7 of their final 8 games. The large news going into Toronto is that Derek Stepan is approaching to lapse to diversion movement for a initial time this season. In credentials for this, a Rangers sent down Chris Mueller. we design Stepan to container in on a line with Mats Zuccarello and Chris Kreider for now. But that of march could change, as a tip 6 has been a bit of a revolution so far.


News out of Toronto is that Kessel is a go, that of march won’t assistance a Rangers’ cause. He has been one of a many inclusive scorers in a NHL, creation his linemates improved in a process. His plain play has him nearby a tip of a NHL in 5v5 Points per 60 minutes, while also providing plain powerplay contributions as well.

Out for Toronto is Daniel Winnik, who had been enjoying a quite successful widen of hockey, personification alongside Kadri and newly Kessel, when his numbers unequivocally began to develop (surprise surprise). He took a nasty decrease in Colorado that resulted in a concussion. No calendar for his return, yet a gossip is that he isn’t arrangement symptoms.

Also out for Toronto: Joffrey Lupul, David Booth, Carter Ashton, and Brandon Kozun. So a Rangers aren’t a usually bar with injuries. The Leafs will rest on a top-heavy conflict and sincerely manly powerplay to gain tonight.

Cam Talbot is going to get a initial partial of this back-to-back. He’ll go adult opposite Jonathan Bernier, who has been plain notwithstanding complicated even strength pressure, a undoubted consistent for this Randy Carlyle-coached group (though it’s been improved this season).

Key to a Game:

Not a whole lot has altered with how we proceed Toronto. Shut down a play-driving of Kessel and a descent creativity of Nazem Kadri and John outpost Riemsdyk, and take advantage of a underbelly of a soothing bottom 6. This is a group that is weaker than many in core depth. Pushing dash and forcing guys like Kadri, Tyler Bozak and Peter Holland to play in their possess zone, where they decidedly don’t wish to be, will be key.

Finding and forcing shots from a core of a ice will do a trick. And Toronto likes to give adult shots from a core of a ice during a aloft rate than many teams.

Their measure practiced Fenwick reveals that when a diversion is close, generally early, they are going to give adult shot attempts. Lots of ’em. Further, their bottom of a joining descent section start commission (28th in a league) reveals that during 5v5, they have a inclination to get pinned in a bit.

This group can be had during evens if a Rangers pull dash and control a puck.

Expected Lines

RANGERS

Rick Nash – Derick Brassard – Martin St. Louis

Chris Kreider – Derek Stepan – Mats Zuccarello

Carl Hagelin – Dominic Moore – Lee Stempniak

Tanner Glass – Kevin Hayes – Anthony Duclair

Marc Staal – Dan Girardi

Kevin Klein – Matt Hunwick

Conor Allen – Michael Kostka

Cam Talbot

MAPLE LEAFS

Josh Leivo – Nazem Kadri – Phil Kessel

James outpost Riemsdyk – Tyler Bozak – David Clarkson

Leo Komarov – Peter Holland – Mike Santorelli

Richard Panik – Sam Carrick – Matt Frattin

Dion Phaneuf – Cody Franson

Morgan Rielly – Roman Polak

Stephane Robidas – Jake Gardiner

Jonathan Bernier

#Usage

Toronto: It’s all about shutting down a tip 6. Everything else falls in place after that.

Rangers: Rick Nash carries a 5v5 flame in a few ways, yet especially 5v5 P/60, where he leads a league. Most of this has to do with his high sharpened commission to start a season, that should (will) regression a bit. He will continue to be a focal indicate of a offense, though. And will continue to furnish in Rick Nashy-like ways.

Meanwhile, St. Louis should advantage from removing behind to unchanging wing duty, where he is by distant some-more comfortable. Zuccarello…just keep doing we son. The man has been going nuts. Axel and we will roughly confidently plead this some-more in destiny articles, as it was a core of an engaging chatter contention we had (@nmercad@axelfanteldh.




Boy…usage charts put on full arrangement how invalid Tanner Glass has been. He isn’t removing a infancy defensive section starts, that is his seeming purpose. Despite this, he is during a bottom of a group in possession metrics. The comprehensive bottom. And opposite a weakest competition. AV, greatfully stop it.

#HeatMaps

credit: sportingcharts.com

#AxelGraphs

We will get to explaining these some-more soon. Just wanted to toss them in for now. Feel giveaway to plead in a comments.


#FancyBeer

Anything from Ommegang. But this right now:

Because winter is coming.

Parting thoughts from Michael Scott:

Be a boss, Stepan. Be a boss.

Tack your measure predictions, musings and thoughts on a numbers in a comments homies.

Stats gathered from: nhl.com, war-on-ice.com, fenwick-stats.com and stats.hockeyanalysis.com

source ⦿ http://www.blueshirtbanter.com/analytics/2014/11/8/7178181/rangers-by-the-numbers-game-preview-rangers-maple-leafs

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